It's official. The Catholic Knight is retired.  I'm hanging up the helmet and passing the torch. There will be no more articles, no more commentaries, no more calls to action. THIS BLOG IS CLOSED. I've spent a very long time thinking about this, I believe the time has come, and is a bit overdue.  I want to thank my readers for everything, but most especially for your encouragement and your willingness to go out there and fight the good fight. So, that being the case, I've spend the last several weeks looking for bloggers who are fairly active, and best represent something akin to the way I think and what I believe.  I recommend the following blogs for my readers to bookmark and check on regularly. Pick one as your favourite, or pick them all. They are all great..... In His Majesty's Service, THE CATHOLIC KNIGHT

Wednesday, November 21, 2007

Two Man Race In Iowa

THE CATHOLIC KNIGHT: Forget the national polls the media has been shoving down out throats. They don't mean a thing. Basically, national polls are all about name recognition. They don't really tell you anything of substance when it comes to who's winning in presidential races.

What matters are the state by state polls, because that's how presidential elections are decided, both in the primary season and the general election season. The state everyone is focused on right now is Iowa, because it is scheduled to have the first primary caucus in January. An analysis of the polls in Iowa tells a much different story than the national popularity polls the mainstream media keeps shoving down our throats.

Here's what we can tell from Iowa. First and foremost, don't worry about Rudy Giuliani, he's trailing in the polls, struggling with Fred Thompson for THIRD place. John McCain finds himself in fourth place (no surprise there). While Ron Paul, for all the money he's raised, can't seem to gain an inch of traction with it. He's steadily in fifth place, unable to clear double digits. His average is less than five percent. The real contenders in Iowa are Mit Romney and Mike Huckabee. One of these two men will win this state, and that will set into motion a chain of events putting one of these two men in the general election against Hillary Clinton.

On the Republican side, this is a two man race -- Romney v. Huckabee. Forget what the political pundits say. One of these two men will get the GOP nomination. For all of Giuliani's popularity and Thompson's hype, neither one of them will make it to the Republican national convention. Make no mistake about it, this is a two man race.

see polling data here